Market comparison

IL-03 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for IL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2% Democrat 0-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.8% Democrat 20-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.2% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.1% Bid 22.8% · Ask 25.3% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.0% Bid 40.1% · Ask 45.9% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.5% Bid 24.3% · Ask 30.7% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 13.1% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.8% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Democrat 60%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ramirez, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.6% Bid 86.0% · Ask 95.1% Ramirez, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ramirez, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 85.0% Ramirez, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ramirez, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.5% Bid 68.0% · Ask 75.0% Ramirez, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ramirez, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	65.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 65.0% Ramirez, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ramirez, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 55.0% Ramirez, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ramirez, 45+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 44.0% Ramirez, 45+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ramirez, 48+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 34.0% Ramirez, 48+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ramirez, 51+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 24.0% Ramirez, 51+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ramirez, 54+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.2% Bid 4.3% · Ask 14.0% Ramirez, 54+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.9% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2%

Democrat 0-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.8%

Democrat 20-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.2%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.1%

Bid 22.8% · Ask 25.3%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

43.0%

Bid 40.1% · Ask 45.9%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 24.3% · Ask 30.7%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 13.1%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.8%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Democrat 60%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ramirez, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.6%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 95.1%

Ramirez, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ramirez, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 85.0%

Ramirez, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ramirez, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.5%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 75.0%

Ramirez, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ramirez, 39+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 65.0%

Ramirez, 39+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ramirez, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 55.0%

Ramirez, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ramirez, 45+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 44.0%

Ramirez, 45+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ramirez, 48+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 34.0%

Ramirez, 48+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ramirez, 51+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 24.0%

Ramirez, 51+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ramirez, 54+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.2%

Bid 4.3% · Ask 14.0%

Ramirez, 54+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.9%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets