Market comparison

IL-07 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for IL-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Democrat 0-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.6% Bid 2.1% · Ask 7.1% Democrat 45-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.1% Bid 6.0% · Ask 14.1% Democrat 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 65-70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 26.0% Democrat 65-70% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 70-75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.3% Bid 27.3% · Ask 31.2% Democrat 70-75% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 75-80% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.6% Bid 22.5% · Ask 24.7% Democrat 75-80% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 80-85% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.0% Democrat 80-85% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 85%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.4% Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.2% Democrat 85%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ford, 56+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.0% Bid 92.3% · Ask 97.4% Ford, 56+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ford, 59+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.8% Bid 84.0% · Ask 95.6% Ford, 59+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ford, 62+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.5% Bid 77.0% · Ask 78.0% Ford, 62+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ford, 65+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	68.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 78.0% Ford, 65+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ford, 68+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0% Ford, 68+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ford, 71+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.5% Bid 41.0% · Ask 46.0% Ford, 71+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ford, 74+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 36.0% Ford, 74+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ford, 77+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0% Ford, 77+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ford, 80+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 2.2% · Ask 14.0% Ford, 80+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Democrat 0-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 7.1%

Democrat 45-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.1%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 14.1%

Democrat 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 65-70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 26.0%

Democrat 65-70%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 70-75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.3%

Bid 27.3% · Ask 31.2%

Democrat 70-75%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 75-80%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.6%

Bid 22.5% · Ask 24.7%

Democrat 75-80%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 80-85%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.0%

Democrat 80-85%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 85%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.2%

Democrat 85%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ford, 56+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 92.3% · Ask 97.4%

Ford, 56+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ford, 59+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.8%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 95.6%

Ford, 59+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ford, 62+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.5%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 78.0%

Ford, 62+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ford, 65+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 78.0%

Ford, 65+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ford, 68+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0%

Ford, 68+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ford, 71+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.5%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 46.0%

Ford, 71+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ford, 74+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 36.0%

Ford, 74+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ford, 77+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0%

Ford, 77+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ford, 80+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 14.0%

Ford, 80+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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