Market comparison

IL-08 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for IL-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Bean, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.3% Bid 93.3% · Ask 97.4% Bean, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bean, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.8% Bid 91.8% · Ask 97.3% Bean, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bean, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 97.3% Bean, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bean, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.7% Bean, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bean, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 83.0% Bean, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bean, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 68.0% Bean, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bean, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.5% Bid 39.0% · Ask 40.0% Bean, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bean, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 35.0% Bean, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bean, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 9.8% · Ask 16.0% Bean, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 4.1% · Ask 11.9% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 20.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.5% Bid 34.0% · Ask 41.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 36.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.9% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.7% Democrat 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Bean, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.3%

Bid 93.3% · Ask 97.4%

Bean, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bean, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.8%

Bid 91.8% · Ask 97.3%

Bean, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bean, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 97.3%

Bean, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bean, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.7%

Bean, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bean, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 83.0%

Bean, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bean, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 68.0%

Bean, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bean, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.5%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 40.0%

Bean, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bean, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 35.0%

Bean, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bean, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 9.8% · Ask 16.0%

Bean, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 11.9%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 20.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

37.5%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 41.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 36.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.9%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.7%

Democrat 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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