Market comparison

IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Bost, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.5% Bid 92.1% · Ask 98.9% Bost, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bost, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 99.2% Bost, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bost, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 96.3% Bost, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bost, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 87.0% Bost, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bost, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	61.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 73.0% Bost, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bost, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 49.0% Bost, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bost, 41+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 38.0% Bost, 41+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bost, 44+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0% Bost, 44+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bost, 47+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 3.4% · Ask 15.0% Bost, 47+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bost, 50+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.4% Bost, 50+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.2% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.0% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.6% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.8% Republican 10-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 30.0% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 13.6% · Ask 14.4% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 19.0% Republican 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 50%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.5% Republican 50%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Bost, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.5%

Bid 92.1% · Ask 98.9%

Bost, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bost, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 99.2%

Bost, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bost, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 96.3%

Bost, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bost, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 87.0%

Bost, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bost, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 73.0%

Bost, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bost, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 49.0%

Bost, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bost, 41+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 38.0%

Bost, 41+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bost, 44+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0%

Bost, 44+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bost, 47+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 15.0%

Bost, 47+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bost, 50+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.4%

Bost, 50+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.0%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.6%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.8%

Republican 10-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 30.0%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 13.6% · Ask 14.4%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 50%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.5%

Republican 50%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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