Market comparison

IL-17 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 16s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for IL-17 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.9% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.8% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.7% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.1% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 26.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 32.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 19.4% · Ask 24.6% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.7% Bid 1.3% · Ask 10.0% Democrat 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.4% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Sorensen, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 95.6% Sorensen, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sorensen, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 89.0% Sorensen, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sorensen, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 78.0% Sorensen, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sorensen, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	62.5% Bid 57.0% · Ask 68.0% Sorensen, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sorensen, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0% Sorensen, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sorensen, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.5% Bid 36.0% · Ask 47.0% Sorensen, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sorensen, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 36.0% Sorensen, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sorensen, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 26.0% Sorensen, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sorensen, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.8% Bid 4.5% · Ask 15.0% Sorensen, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.9%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.8%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.7%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.1%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 26.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 32.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 19.4% · Ask 24.6%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.7%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 10.0%

Democrat 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.4%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Sorensen, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 95.6%

Sorensen, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sorensen, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 89.0%

Sorensen, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sorensen, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 78.0%

Sorensen, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sorensen, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

62.5%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 68.0%

Sorensen, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sorensen, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0%

Sorensen, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sorensen, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

41.5%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 47.0%

Sorensen, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sorensen, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 36.0%

Sorensen, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sorensen, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 26.0%

Sorensen, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Sorensen, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.8%

Bid 4.5% · Ask 15.0%

Sorensen, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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