The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Ilhan Omar arrested by...?

2 venues · 3 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

1 outcomes · $257K reported volume

Observed 45s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $49K reported volume

Observed 45s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

October 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 4.9%

October 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

Yes

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.