Market comparison

Illinois Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 36s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 36s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Illinois Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.8% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.2% Bid 1.0% · Ask 15.4% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.3% Bid 0.6% · Ask 20.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.5% Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 29.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 13.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0% Democrat 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Pritzker, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 92.7% · Ask 97.3% Pritzker, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pritzker, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.4% Bid 90.4% · Ask 97.3% Pritzker, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pritzker, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.7% Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.1% Pritzker, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pritzker, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 88.0% Pritzker, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pritzker, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 76.0% Pritzker, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pritzker, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0% Pritzker, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pritzker, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0% Pritzker, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pritzker, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0% Pritzker, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pritzker, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% Pritzker, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pritzker, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9% Pritzker, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.8%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.2%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 15.4%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 20.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 29.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 13.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0%

Democrat 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Pritzker, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 92.7% · Ask 97.3%

Pritzker, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pritzker, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.4%

Bid 90.4% · Ask 97.3%

Pritzker, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pritzker, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.7%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.1%

Pritzker, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pritzker, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 88.0%

Pritzker, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pritzker, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 76.0%

Pritzker, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pritzker, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0%

Pritzker, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pritzker, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0%

Pritzker, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pritzker, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0%

Pritzker, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pritzker, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0%

Pritzker, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pritzker, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Pritzker, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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