Market comparison

Illinois's 10th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Illinois's 10th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8% Democrat 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.8% Democrat 10-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.7% · Ask 9.3% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.1% Bid 1.4% · Ask 12.9% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 33.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.6% Bid 25.6% · Ask 29.6% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.9% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.4% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.9% Democrat 50%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Schneider, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.7% Bid 90.6% · Ask 98.7% Schneider, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Schneider, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.1% Bid 80.0% · Ask 90.2% Schneider, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Schneider, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	74.5% Bid 69.0% · Ask 80.0% Schneider, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Schneider, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	63.5% Bid 58.0% · Ask 69.0% Schneider, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Schneider, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 58.0% Schneider, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Schneider, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 47.0% Schneider, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Schneider, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 37.0% Schneider, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Schneider, 40+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 26.0% Schneider, 40+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Schneider, 43+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 4.8% · Ask 15.0% Schneider, 43+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8%

Democrat 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.8%

Democrat 10-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 9.3%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.1%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 12.9%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 33.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.6%

Bid 25.6% · Ask 29.6%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.9%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.4%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.9%

Democrat 50%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Schneider, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

98.7%

Bid 90.6% · Ask 98.7%

Schneider, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Schneider, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.1%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 90.2%

Schneider, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Schneider, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

74.5%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 80.0%

Schneider, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Schneider, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

63.5%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 69.0%

Schneider, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Schneider, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 58.0%

Schneider, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Schneider, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 47.0%

Schneider, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Schneider, 37+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 37.0%

Schneider, 37+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Schneider, 40+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 26.0%

Schneider, 40+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Schneider, 43+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 4.8% · Ask 15.0%

Schneider, 43+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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