Market comparison

IN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 16 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 6m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 32s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for IN-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.3% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.2% Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.5% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.5% Bid 33.0% · Ask 40.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 27.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.2% Democrat 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mrvan, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.1% Bid 82.0% · Ask 92.1% Mrvan, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mrvan, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	76.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 85.0% Mrvan, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mrvan, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0% Mrvan, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mrvan, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 58.0% Mrvan, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mrvan, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 48.0% Mrvan, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mrvan, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 32.0% Mrvan, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mrvan, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0% Mrvan, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mrvan, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 5.1% · Ask 16.0% Mrvan, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.3%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.5%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

36.5%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 40.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 27.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.2%

Democrat 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mrvan, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.1%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 92.1%

Mrvan, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mrvan, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 85.0%

Mrvan, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mrvan, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0%

Mrvan, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mrvan, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 58.0%

Mrvan, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mrvan, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 48.0%

Mrvan, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mrvan, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 32.0%

Mrvan, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mrvan, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0%

Mrvan, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mrvan, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 16.0%

Mrvan, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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