Market comparison

IN-02 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 17s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for IN-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.9% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.2% Bid 2.3% · Ask 12.1% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 34.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.4% Bid 11.4% · Ask 41.4% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.5% · Ask 5.6% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 1.3% · Ask 5.4% Republican 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yakym, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0% Yakym, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yakym, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 76.0% Yakym, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yakym, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	61.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 61.0% Yakym, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yakym, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 44.0% Yakym, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yakym, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0% Yakym, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yakym, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.2% Bid 5.4% · Ask 16.0% Yakym, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yakym, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0% Yakym, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yakym, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.2% Yakym, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yakym, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.8% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.8% Yakym, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.9%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.2%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 12.1%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 34.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.4%

Bid 11.4% · Ask 41.4%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 5.6%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 5.4%

Republican 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yakym, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0%

Yakym, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Yakym, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 76.0%

Yakym, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Yakym, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 61.0%

Yakym, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Yakym, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 44.0%

Yakym, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Yakym, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0%

Yakym, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Yakym, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.2%

Bid 5.4% · Ask 16.0%

Yakym, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Yakym, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0%

Yakym, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Yakym, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.2%

Yakym, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Yakym, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.8%

Yakym, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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