Market comparison

IN-03 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for IN-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.6% Bid 4.3% · Ask 8.9% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.8% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.5% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.5% Bid 30.0% · Ask 35.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 7.7% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.8% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.2% Republican 40%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Stutzman, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.0% Bid 90.1% · Ask 98.0% Stutzman, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stutzman, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.5% Bid 85.0% · Ask 96.1% Stutzman, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stutzman, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0% Stutzman, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stutzman, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 76.0% Stutzman, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stutzman, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 62.0% Stutzman, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stutzman, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	46.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 46.0% Stutzman, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stutzman, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0% Stutzman, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stutzman, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 22.0% Stutzman, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stutzman, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0% Stutzman, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stutzman, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.3% Stutzman, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stutzman, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.2% Stutzman, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.6%

Bid 4.3% · Ask 8.9%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.8%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.5%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.5%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 35.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 7.7%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.8%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.2%

Republican 40%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Stutzman, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 90.1% · Ask 98.0%

Stutzman, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stutzman, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.5%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 96.1%

Stutzman, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stutzman, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0%

Stutzman, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stutzman, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 76.0%

Stutzman, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stutzman, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 62.0%

Stutzman, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stutzman, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 46.0%

Stutzman, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stutzman, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0%

Stutzman, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stutzman, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 22.0%

Stutzman, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stutzman, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0%

Stutzman, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stutzman, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.3%

Stutzman, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Stutzman, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.2%

Stutzman, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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