Market comparison

IN-07 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 29s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for IN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Carson, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.0% Bid 90.1% · Ask 98.9% Carson, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Carson, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.5% Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.1% Carson, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Carson, 40+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	78.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 81.0% Carson, 40+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Carson, 43+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0% Carson, 43+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Carson, 46+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0% Carson, 46+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Carson, 49+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.5% Bid 37.0% · Ask 46.0% Carson, 49+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Carson, 52+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 35.0% Carson, 52+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Carson, 55+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 24.0% Carson, 55+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Carson, 58+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.6% Bid 7.5% · Ask 14.0% Carson, 58+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 6.1% · Ask 15.0% Democrat 0-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.8% Democrat 20-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.2% Bid 2.2% · Ask 10.1% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 22.0% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 22.0% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.3% Bid 5.6% · Ask 13.0% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.7% Democrat 60%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Carson, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 90.1% · Ask 98.9%

Carson, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Carson, 37+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.5%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.1%

Carson, 37+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Carson, 40+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 81.0%

Carson, 40+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Carson, 43+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0%

Carson, 43+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Carson, 46+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0%

Carson, 46+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Carson, 49+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

41.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 46.0%

Carson, 49+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Carson, 52+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 35.0%

Carson, 52+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Carson, 55+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 24.0%

Carson, 55+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Carson, 58+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.6%

Bid 7.5% · Ask 14.0%

Carson, 58+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 6.1% · Ask 15.0%

Democrat 0-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.8%

Democrat 20-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.2%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 10.1%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 22.0%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 22.0%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.3%

Bid 5.6% · Ask 13.0%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.7%

Democrat 60%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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