The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner

2 venues · 2 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

2 outcomes · $35K reported volume

Observed 8m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 5m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Beau Bayh

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 55.0%

Beau Bayh

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

51.5%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 53.0%

Beau Bayh (D)

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Max Engling

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0%

Max Engling

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

46.5%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 48.0%

Max Engling (R)

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.