Market comparison
Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner
2 venues · 2 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗2 outcomes · $35K reported volume
Observed 8m ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗5 outcomes · $6K reported volume
Observed 5m ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2026
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Beau Bayh Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.5 pp | ||
Max Engling Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.5 pp |
Beau Bayh
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.5 pp
Max Engling
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.