Market comparison

Indiana Secretary of State winner?

2 venues · 2 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $34K reported volume

Observed 9m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 6m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Indiana Secretary of State winner?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Beau Bayh Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	53.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 53.0% Beau Bayh Open Kalshi ↗	50.5% Bid 49.0% · Ask 52.0% Beau Bayh (D) Open Polymarket ↗	2.5 pp
Max Engling Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	49.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 49.0% Max Engling Open Kalshi ↗	48.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 50.0% Max Engling (R) Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp