Market comparison

Indiana's 2nd District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Indiana's 2nd District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 1.2% · Ask 9.7% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.4% Bid 8.1% · Ask 10.8% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.1% Bid 20.5% · Ask 41.7% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.6% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.9% Republican 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yakym, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 87.0% Yakym, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yakym, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.5% Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0% Yakym, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yakym, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 60.0% Yakym, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yakym, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.5% Bid 32.0% · Ask 43.0% Yakym, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yakym, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	27.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0% Yakym, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yakym, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.2% Bid 5.4% · Ask 15.0% Yakym, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yakym, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 10.0% Yakym, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yakym, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.2% Yakym, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yakym, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.8% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.8% Yakym, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 9.7%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.4%

Bid 8.1% · Ask 10.8%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.1%

Bid 20.5% · Ask 41.7%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.6%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.9%

Republican 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yakym, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 87.0%

Yakym, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Yakym, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.5%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0%

Yakym, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Yakym, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 60.0%

Yakym, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Yakym, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.5%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 43.0%

Yakym, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Yakym, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0%

Yakym, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Yakym, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.2%

Bid 5.4% · Ask 15.0%

Yakym, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Yakym, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 10.0%

Yakym, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Yakym, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.2%

Yakym, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Yakym, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.8%

Yakym, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets