Market comparison

Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 22 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $90K reported volume

Observed 10s ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 10s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Lahn 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.7% Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.2% Lahn 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lahn 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.6% Bid 0.8% · Ask 2.3% Lahn 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lahn 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.4% Lahn 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lahn 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4% Lahn 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lahn 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6% Lahn 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lahn, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 3.6% · Ask 12.0% Lahn, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lahn, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.6% Bid 5.6% · Ask 8.5% Lahn, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lahn, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 3.2% · Ask 4.9% Lahn, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lahn, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.5% Lahn, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sand 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.4% Bid 20.9% · Ask 21.9% Sand 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sand 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0% Sand 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sand 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0% Sand 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sand 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.1% Bid 9.5% · Ask 10.6% Sand 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sand 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0% Sand 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sand, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	84.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 87.0% Sand, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sand, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	68.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 69.0% Sand, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sand, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	59.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 69.0% Sand, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sand, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	45.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 47.0% Sand, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sand, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 45.0% Sand, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sand, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 27.0% Sand, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sand, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 9.2% · Ask 14.0% Sand, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sand, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.3% · Ask 6.7% Sand, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Lahn 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.2%

Lahn 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lahn 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 2.3%

Lahn 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lahn 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.4%

Lahn 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lahn 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4%

Lahn 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Lahn 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6%

Lahn 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Lahn, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.8%

Bid 3.6% · Ask 12.0%

Lahn, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lahn, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.6%

Bid 5.6% · Ask 8.5%

Lahn, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lahn, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.9%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 4.9%

Lahn, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lahn, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.5%

Lahn, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sand 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

21.4%

Bid 20.9% · Ask 21.9%

Sand 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Sand 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Sand 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Sand 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0%

Sand 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Sand 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.1%

Bid 9.5% · Ask 10.6%

Sand 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Sand 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0%

Sand 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Sand, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 87.0%

Sand, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sand, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 69.0%

Sand, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sand, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 69.0%

Sand, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sand, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 47.0%

Sand, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sand, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 45.0%

Sand, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sand, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 27.0%

Sand, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sand, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 9.2% · Ask 14.0%

Sand, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sand, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 6.7%

Sand, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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