The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 26 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $62K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

16 outcomes · $81K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Hinson 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 33.0%

Hinson 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hinson 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0%

Hinson 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hinson 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.9%

Hinson 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hinson 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 3.8%

Hinson 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hinson 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.9%

Hinson 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hinson, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 50.0%

Hinson, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hinson, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 43.0%

Hinson, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hinson, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 40.0%

Hinson, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hinson, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 28.0%

Hinson, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hinson, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0%

Hinson, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hinson, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 19.0%

Hinson, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hinson, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 12.0%

Hinson, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hinson, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.9%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.9%

Hinson, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hinson, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Hinson, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hinson, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.5%

Hinson, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Turek 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0%

Turek 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Turek 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.8%

Bid 12.2% · Ask 13.4%

Turek 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Turek 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 5.8%

Turek 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Turek 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.9%

Turek 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Turek 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 2.6%

Turek 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Turek, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.5%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 38.0%

Turek, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Turek, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 35.0%

Turek, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Turek, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 26.0%

Turek, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Turek, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 20.0%

Turek, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Turek, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.1%

Bid 9.2% · Ask 17.0%

Turek, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Turek, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 9.1% · Ask 11.0%

Turek, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.