Market comparison

Iowa's 2nd District margin of victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 46s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Iowa's 2nd District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.3% Bid 16.9% · Ask 19.7% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.3% Bid 15.1% · Ask 17.5% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.4% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.9% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 9.3% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
James, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	63.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 63.0% James, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
James, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 45.0% James, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
James, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 29.0% James, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
James, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0% James, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mitchell, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 36.0% Mitchell, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mitchell, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	27.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 36.0% Mitchell, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mitchell, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0% Mitchell, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mitchell, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 4.6% · Ask 15.0% Mitchell, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mitchell, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0% Mitchell, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mitchell, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.3% Mitchell, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.3%

Bid 16.9% · Ask 19.7%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.3%

Bid 15.1% · Ask 17.5%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.4%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.9%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 9.3%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

James, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 63.0%

James, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

James, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 45.0%

James, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

James, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 29.0%

James, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

James, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0%

James, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mitchell, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 36.0%

Mitchell, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mitchell, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 36.0%

Mitchell, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mitchell, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0%

Mitchell, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mitchell, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 15.0%

Mitchell, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mitchell, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0%

Mitchell, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mitchell, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.3%

Mitchell, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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