Market comparison

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

1 venue · 30 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

30 outcomes · $164K reported volume

Observed 102h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Oct 3, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
October 2 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 2 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 3 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 3 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 4 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 4 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 5 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 6 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 6 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 7 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 7 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 8 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 8 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 9 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 10 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 10 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 11 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 11 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 12 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 12 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 13 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 13 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 14 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 14 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 15 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 15 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 16 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 16 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 17 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 17 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 18 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	96.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 18 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 19 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.3%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 19 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 20 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	88.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 20 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 21 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	89.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 21 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 22 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	84.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 22 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 23 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	74.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 23 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 24 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	79.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 24 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 25 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	80.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 25 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 26 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	82.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 26 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 27 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	77.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 27 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 28 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	90.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 28 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 29 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	79.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 29 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	86.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	76.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old October 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—

October 2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 2 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 3

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 3 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 4 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 5 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 6

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 6

Open Polymarket ↗

October 7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 7 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 8

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 8 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 9 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 10 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 11

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 11 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 12

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 12 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 13

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 13 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 14

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 14 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 15 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 16

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 16 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 17

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 17 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 18

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

96.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 18

Open Polymarket ↗

October 19

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

98.3%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 19

Open Polymarket ↗

October 20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

88.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 20

Open Polymarket ↗

October 21

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

89.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 21

Open Polymarket ↗

October 22

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

84.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 22

Open Polymarket ↗

October 23

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

74.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 23

Open Polymarket ↗

October 24

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

79.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 24

Open Polymarket ↗

October 25

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

80.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 25

Open Polymarket ↗

October 26

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

82.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 26

Open Polymarket ↗

October 27

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

77.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 27

Open Polymarket ↗

October 28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

90.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 28

Open Polymarket ↗

October 29

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

79.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 29

Open Polymarket ↗

October 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

86.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 30

Open Polymarket ↗

October 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

76.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets