The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

1 venue · 7 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

7 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 10m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

October 15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

October 15 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.0%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 2.5%

October 31

Open Polymarket ↗

September 4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 4 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

September 7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 7 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

September 11

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 11 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

September 18

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 18 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

September 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.