The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

2 venues · 72 outcome rows · 10 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

95 outcomes · $171K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 44s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 28, 2026

23 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Blue and White

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Blue and White

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Blue and White

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Likud

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.1%

Likud

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Likud

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Otzma Yehudit

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.4%

Otzma Yehudit

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0%

Otzma Yehudit

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Ra'am

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Ra'am

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Ra'am

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Shas

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.9%

Shas

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Shas

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

The Democrats

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0%

The Democrats

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 12.0%

The Democrats

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Together

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

83.5%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 84.0%

Together

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 90.0%

Together

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

United Torah Judaism

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

United Torah Judaism

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

United Torah Judaism

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Yashar

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 7.8%

Yashar

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Yashar

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.3 pp

Yisrael Beiteinu

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Yisrael Beiteinu

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Yisrael Beiteinu

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 5.8 pp

A Place for All of Us

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

A Place for All of Us

Open Kalshi ↗

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.2%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 16.3%

Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Amcha Yisrael

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Amcha Yisrael

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Animal Justice

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Animal Justice

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.2%

Bid 11.1% · Ask 11.2%

Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0%

European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Greens

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.7%

Bid 19.5% · Ask 25.8%

Greens

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Haredi Public

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Haredi Public

Open Kalshi ↗

Israel First

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Israel First

Open Kalshi ↗

Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

61.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 68.0%

Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Joint List

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.0%

Joint List

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)

Open Kalshi ↗

Labor

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 6.5%

Labor

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Legalise Cannabis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Legalise Cannabis

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Liberal–National

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Liberal–National

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Libertarian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Libertarian

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List A

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List A · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List D

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List F

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List F · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List G

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List G · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List H

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List H · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List I

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List I · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List J

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List J · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List K · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List L

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List L · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List M · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List N

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List N · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List O

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List O · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List P

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List P · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List Q

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List Q · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List R

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List R · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List S

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List S · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List T · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List U

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List U · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List V

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List V · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List W

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List W · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List X

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List X · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List Y

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List Y · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

List Z

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

List Z · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

New Economic Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

New Economic Party

Open Kalshi ↗

Noam

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Noam

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Noam for Israel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Noam for Israel

Open Kalshi ↗

One Nation

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

60.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 63.0%

One Nation

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

People of Israel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

People of Israel

Open Kalshi ↗

Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Religious Zionist Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Religious Zionist Party

Open Kalshi ↗

Religious Zionist Party–Zehut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Religious Zionist Party–Zehut

Open Kalshi ↗

Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

RZP-Zehut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

RZP-Zehut

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Shooters, Fishers, Farmers

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Shooters, Fishers, Farmers

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Student List – Students Win

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid — · Ask 2.5%

Student List – Students Win

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

The Reservists and the Economic Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

The Reservists and the Economic Party

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

The Reservists and the Economic Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Reservists–New Economic Party

Open Kalshi ↗

Unity

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Unity

Open Kalshi ↗

Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Zehut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Zehut

Open Kalshi ↗

Zionist Home–The Reservists

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Zionist Home–The Reservists

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.