The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 25 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

17 outcomes · $83K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Hamilton Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0%

Hamilton Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Hamilton, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 37.0%

Hamilton, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hamilton, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 24.0%

Hamilton, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hamilton, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.7%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 14.0%

Hamilton, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hamilton, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.9%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 8.9%

Hamilton, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hamilton, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.9%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.9%

Hamilton, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marshall 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

37.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 38.0%

Marshall 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Marshall 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Marshall 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Marshall 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0%

Marshall 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Marshall 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.7%

Marshall 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Marshall 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2%

Marshall 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Marshall 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.2%

Marshall 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Marshall 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6%

Marshall 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Marshall, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 56.0%

Marshall, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marshall, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 38.0%

Marshall, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marshall, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 26.0%

Marshall, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marshall, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Marshall, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marshall, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 7.1% · Ask 11.0%

Marshall, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marshall, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 6.0%

Marshall, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marshall, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.9%

Marshall, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marshall, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.1%

Marshall, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marshall, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.9%

Marshall, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marshall, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.7%

Marshall, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marshall, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.9%

Marshall, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marshall, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Marshall, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.