Market comparison

Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner

2 venues · 7 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

33 outcomes · $69K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 29, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 18s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 28, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Generic non-US election template: rules are not uniform across events and need a per-event rules comparison before parity can be claimed.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Ko Chih-en Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	13.3% Bid 12.3% · Ask 14.2% Ko Chih-en Open Polymarket ↗	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.0% Ko Chih-en Open Kalshi ↗	4.3 pp
Lai Jui-lung Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	87.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 88.0% Lai Jui-lung Open Polymarket ↗	90.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 91.0% Lai Jui-lung Open Kalshi ↗	3.0 pp
Chang Ching Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Chang Ching Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Chiu Yi-ying Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Chiu Yi-ying Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hsu Chih-chieh Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% Hsu Chih-chieh Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Lin Tai-hua Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Lin Tai-hua Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Zhang Jing Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0% Zhang Jing Open Kalshi ↗	—