The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Kaohsiung mayoral election winner?

2 venues · 7 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

33 outcomes · $69K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 29, 2026

3 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 5m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 28, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Generic non-US election template: rules are not uniform across events and need a per-event rules comparison before parity can be claimed.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Ko Chih-en

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

11.1%

Bid 10.1% · Ask 12.1%

Ko Chih-en

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Ko Chih-en

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.1 pp

Lai Jui-lung

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

89.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 90.0%

Lai Jui-lung

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

91.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 93.0%

Lai Jui-lung

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Chang Ching

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Chang Ching

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Chiu Yi-ying

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Chiu Yi-ying

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hsu Chih-chieh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Hsu Chih-chieh

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lin Tai-hua

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Lin Tai-hua

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Zhang Jing

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0%

Zhang Jing

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.