Market comparison

Kentucky Senate Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 22 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $15K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 18s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Kentucky Senate Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Barr, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.5% Bid 83.0% · Ask 86.0% Barr, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barr, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 86.0% Barr, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barr, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	68.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 73.0% Barr, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barr, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	59.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 70.0% Barr, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barr, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 62.0% Barr, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barr, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 50.0% Barr, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barr, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 36.0% Barr, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barr, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 31.0% Barr, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barr, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 26.0% Barr, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barr, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 19.0% Barr, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barr, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0% Barr, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barr, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 9.9% Barr, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.5% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.2% Bid 19.9% · Ask 30.5% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 12.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.2% Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.9% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.7% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.2% Bid 3.9% · Ask 4.4% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Republican 45%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Barr, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.5%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 86.0%

Barr, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barr, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 86.0%

Barr, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barr, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 73.0%

Barr, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barr, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 70.0%

Barr, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barr, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 62.0%

Barr, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barr, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 50.0%

Barr, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barr, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 36.0%

Barr, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barr, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 31.0%

Barr, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barr, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 26.0%

Barr, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barr, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 19.0%

Barr, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barr, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0%

Barr, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barr, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 9.9%

Barr, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.5%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.2%

Bid 19.9% · Ask 30.5%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 12.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.9%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.7%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 4.4%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Republican 45%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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