Market comparison

Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $10K reported volume

Observed 5m ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Alvarado, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0% Alvarado, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alvarado, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	34.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 44.0% Alvarado, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alvarado, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0% Alvarado, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alvarado, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 5.5% · Ask 16.0% Alvarado, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alvarado, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.9% Alvarado, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alvarado, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.6% Alvarado, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alvarado, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.3% Alvarado, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alvarado, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.0% Alvarado, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dembo, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 31.0% Dembo, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.6% Bid 1.3% · Ask 14.0% Democrat 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 17.5% · Ask 18.5% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.2% Bid 12.3% · Ask 14.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.1% Bid 12.1% · Ask 16.1% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.7% Bid 5.5% · Ask 5.9% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.3% Bid 0.6% · Ask 18.1% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.2% Bid 0.3% · Ask 12.0% Republican 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Alvarado, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0%

Alvarado, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Alvarado, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 44.0%

Alvarado, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Alvarado, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0%

Alvarado, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Alvarado, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 5.5% · Ask 16.0%

Alvarado, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Alvarado, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.9%

Alvarado, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Alvarado, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.6%

Alvarado, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Alvarado, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.3%

Alvarado, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Alvarado, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.0%

Alvarado, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Dembo, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 31.0%

Dembo, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.6%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 14.0%

Democrat 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.5% · Ask 18.5%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.2%

Bid 12.3% · Ask 14.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.1%

Bid 12.1% · Ask 16.1%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.7%

Bid 5.5% · Ask 5.9%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 18.1%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.2%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 12.0%

Republican 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets