Market comparison
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?
2 venues · 1 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗1 outcomes · $10K reported volume
Observed 8m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗1 outcomes · $8K reported volume
Observed 2m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.
Known rule differences between venues
- Kalshi resolves on a credible report of an engagement; Polymarket requires confirmation (official statement or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting).
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Yes Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 4.0 pp |
Yes
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 4.0 pp
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.