Market comparison

KS-02 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 12s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for KS-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.3% Democrat 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.6% Bid 8.7% · Ask 16.5% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.4% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 20.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 15.3% · Ask 17.7% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 11.0% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.8% Bid 1.5% · Ask 20.0% Republican 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 1.2% · Ask 10.5% Republican 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Schmidt, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 82.0% Schmidt, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Schmidt, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 72.0% Schmidt, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Schmidt, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 57.0% Schmidt, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Schmidt, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 43.0% Schmidt, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Schmidt, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 30.0% Schmidt, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Schmidt, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.1% Bid 8.1% · Ask 20.0% Schmidt, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Schmidt, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 13.0% Schmidt, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Schmidt, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.9% Schmidt, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Schmidt, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.1% Schmidt, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.3%

Democrat 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.6%

Bid 8.7% · Ask 16.5%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.4%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 15.3% · Ask 17.7%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 11.0%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.8%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 10.5%

Republican 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Schmidt, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 82.0%

Schmidt, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Schmidt, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 72.0%

Schmidt, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Schmidt, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 57.0%

Schmidt, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Schmidt, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 43.0%

Schmidt, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Schmidt, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 30.0%

Schmidt, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Schmidt, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.1%

Bid 8.1% · Ask 20.0%

Schmidt, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Schmidt, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 13.0%

Schmidt, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Schmidt, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.9%

Schmidt, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Schmidt, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.1%

Schmidt, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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