Market comparison

KS-03 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 36s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 36s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for KS-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Davids, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	93.5% Bid 90.8% · Ask 95.1% Davids, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Davids, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	90.1% Bid 89.0% · Ask 93.7% Davids, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Davids, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	80.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 86.0% Davids, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Davids, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	67.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 75.0% Davids, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Davids, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	54.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 62.0% Davids, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Davids, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 51.0% Davids, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Davids, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 40.0% Davids, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Davids, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 29.0% Davids, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Davids, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.1% Bid 8.0% · Ask 17.0% Davids, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.1% Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.2% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.8% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.7% Bid 16.5% · Ask 22.9% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.8% Bid 30.1% · Ask 31.5% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.3% Bid 13.0% · Ask 29.6% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.7% · Ask 7.3% Democrat 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.2% Bid 3.6% · Ask 4.8% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—

Davids, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

93.5%

Bid 90.8% · Ask 95.1%

Davids, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Davids, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

90.1%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 93.7%

Davids, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Davids, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 86.0%

Davids, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Davids, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 75.0%

Davids, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Davids, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 62.0%

Davids, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Davids, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 51.0%

Davids, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Davids, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 40.0%

Davids, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Davids, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 29.0%

Davids, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Davids, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.1%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 17.0%

Davids, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.2%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.8%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

19.7%

Bid 16.5% · Ask 22.9%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

30.8%

Bid 30.1% · Ask 31.5%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

21.3%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 29.6%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 7.3%

Democrat 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 3.6% · Ask 4.8%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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