Market comparison

KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 24 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $32K reported volume

Observed 26s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 26s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gallrein, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.3% Bid 93.3% · Ask 97.4% Gallrein, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gallrein, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.9% Bid 92.3% · Ask 97.3% Gallrein, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gallrein, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.7% Bid 90.1% · Ask 97.3% Gallrein, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gallrein, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.5% Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.1% Gallrein, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gallrein, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 88.0% Gallrein, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gallrein, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 75.0% Gallrein, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gallrein, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 63.0% Gallrein, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gallrein, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 50.0% Gallrein, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gallrein, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 39.0% Gallrein, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gallrein, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0% Gallrein, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gallrein, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.9% Bid 3.4% · Ask 15.0% Gallrein, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gallrein, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.8% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.8% Gallrein, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gallrein, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.3% Gallrein, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gallrein, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.3% Gallrein, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.5% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.0% Republican 5-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.3% Bid 2.5% · Ask 16.2% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.1% Bid 28.0% · Ask 28.3% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.6% Bid 22.0% · Ask 23.2% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.6% Bid 6.7% · Ask 10.5% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 1.3% · Ask 8.3% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.6% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.2% Republican 45%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Gallrein, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.3%

Bid 93.3% · Ask 97.4%

Gallrein, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gallrein, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.9%

Bid 92.3% · Ask 97.3%

Gallrein, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gallrein, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.7%

Bid 90.1% · Ask 97.3%

Gallrein, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gallrein, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.5%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.1%

Gallrein, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gallrein, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 88.0%

Gallrein, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gallrein, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 75.0%

Gallrein, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gallrein, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 63.0%

Gallrein, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gallrein, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 50.0%

Gallrein, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gallrein, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 39.0%

Gallrein, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gallrein, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0%

Gallrein, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gallrein, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.9%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 15.0%

Gallrein, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gallrein, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.8%

Gallrein, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gallrein, 39+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.3%

Gallrein, 39+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gallrein, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.3%

Gallrein, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.5%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.0%

Republican 5-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.3%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 16.2%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.1%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 28.3%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.6%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 23.2%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.6%

Bid 6.7% · Ask 10.5%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 8.3%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.6%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.0%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.2%

Republican 45%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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