The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

League Phase Top 8 Finishers

2 venues · 86 outcome rows · 6 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

56 outcomes · $114K reported volume

Observed 19s ago

Observed 19s ago

Observed 19s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 14, 2027

36 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 19s ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 11, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Barcelona

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

98.0%

Bid 96.3% · Ask 99.8%

Barcelona

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 88.0%

Barcelona

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 13.1 pp

Bayern Munich

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

96.5%

Bid 96.1% · Ask 96.9%

Bayern Munich

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 73.0%

Bayern Munich

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 23.5 pp

Lens

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 33.0%

Lens

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

34.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 69.0%

Lens

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 16.0 pp

Lille

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

63.5%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 87.0%

Lille

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 56.0%

Lille

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 52.5 pp

Real Madrid

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

77.5%

Bid 76.4% · Ask 78.5%

Real Madrid

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 100.0%

Real Madrid

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 8.6 pp

Villarreal

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.0%

Villarreal

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

48.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 97.0%

Villarreal

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 45.7 pp

1. FC Köln

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.6%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 97.9%

1. FC Köln

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

AEK Athens

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 24.0%

AEK Athens

Open Kalshi ↗

Alavés

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.9%

Alavés

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Angers

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.1%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 41.6%

Angers

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Arsenal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 100.0%

Arsenal

Open Kalshi ↗

Aston Villa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 65.0%

Aston Villa

Open Kalshi ↗

Athletic Bilbao

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.4%

Athletic Bilbao

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Atletico

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 94.0%

Atletico

Open Kalshi ↗

Atlético Madrid

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0%

Atlético Madrid

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Auxerre

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.0%

Auxerre

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bayer Leverkusen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

68.5%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 77.0%

Bayer Leverkusen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Betis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.7%

Betis

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bodoe/Glimt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 13.0%

Bodoe/Glimt

Open Kalshi ↗

Borussia Dortmund

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

86.5%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 88.0%

Borussia Dortmund

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.0%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Brest

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 7.0%

Brest

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Celta Vigo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Celta Vigo

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Club Brugge

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 19.0%

Club Brugge

Open Kalshi ↗

Como

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 32.0%

Como

Open Kalshi ↗

Deportivo La Coruña

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.0%

Deportivo La Coruña

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Dortmund

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0%

Dortmund

Open Kalshi ↗

Eintracht Frankfurt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid — · Ask 1.6%

Eintracht Frankfurt

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Elche

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.5%

Elche

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Espanyol

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 4.5%

Espanyol

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

FC Augsburg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.6%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 48.0%

FC Augsburg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fenerbahce

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 12.0%

Fenerbahce

Open Kalshi ↗

Feyenoord

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 18.0%

Feyenoord

Open Kalshi ↗

Galatasaray

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 54.0%

Galatasaray

Open Kalshi ↗

Getafe

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 3.5%

Getafe

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hamburger SV

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.1%

Bid 7.4% · Ask 30.9%

Hamburger SV

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Inter

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0%

Inter

Open Kalshi ↗

LASK

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 54.0%

LASK

Open Kalshi ↗

Le Havre

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

41.1%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 81.6%

Le Havre

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Le Mans

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.9%

Le Mans

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Leipzig

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 27.0%

Leipzig

Open Kalshi ↗

Levante

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 2.7%

Levante

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Liverpool

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 89.0%

Liverpool

Open Kalshi ↗

Lorient

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 34.0%

Lorient

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lyon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

55.5%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 77.0%

Lyon

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mainz 05

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 94.0%

Mainz 05

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Málaga

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.0%

Málaga

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Manchester City

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 71.0%

Manchester City

Open Kalshi ↗

Manchester United

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0%

Manchester United

Open Kalshi ↗

Marseille

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 28.0%

Marseille

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Monaco

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

70.5%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 79.0%

Monaco

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Napoli

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 20.0%

Napoli

Open Kalshi ↗

Nice

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.9%

Nice

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Osasuna

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.4%

Osasuna

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Paris FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

36.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 61.0%

Paris FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Paris Saint-Germain

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

96.6%

Bid 93.6% · Ask 99.6%

Paris Saint-Germain

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Porto

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 17.0%

Porto

Open Kalshi ↗

PSG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 87.0%

PSG

Open Kalshi ↗

PSV Eindhoven

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 15.0%

PSV Eindhoven

Open Kalshi ↗

Racing Santander

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.7%

Racing Santander

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rayo Vallecano

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.3%

Rayo Vallecano

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

RB Leipzig

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

48.5%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 61.0%

RB Leipzig

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Real Betis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 61.0%

Real Betis

Open Kalshi ↗

Real Sociedad

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.2%

Real Sociedad

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rennes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 70.0%

Rennes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Roma

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0%

Roma

Open Kalshi ↗

Sabah Masazir

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 63.0%

Sabah Masazir

Open Kalshi ↗

SC Freiburg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

42.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 64.0%

SC Freiburg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

SC Paderborn

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.8%

SC Paderborn

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Schalke 04

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.1%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 20.1%

Schalke 04

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Sevilla

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Sevilla

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Shakhtar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0%

Shakhtar

Open Kalshi ↗

Slavia Prague

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 63.0%

Slavia Prague

Open Kalshi ↗

Slovan Bratislava

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 64.0%

Slovan Bratislava

Open Kalshi ↗

Sporting CP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0%

Sporting CP

Open Kalshi ↗

Strasbourg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 8.3%

Strasbourg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Stuttgart

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 33.0%

Stuttgart

Open Kalshi ↗

SV Elversberg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

48.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 94.9%

SV Elversberg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Toulouse

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 35.0%

Toulouse

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Troyes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.6%

Troyes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

TSG Hoffenheim

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0%

TSG Hoffenheim

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Union Berlin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.4%

Union Berlin

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Valencia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.0%

Valencia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

VfB Stuttgart

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 51.0%

VfB Stuttgart

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Viking

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 64.0%

Viking

Open Kalshi ↗

Werder Bremen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

43.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 85.0%

Werder Bremen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.