The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

LEGION vs. PARIVISION

2 venues · 25 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

24 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 43s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 23, 2026

2 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 25, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
  • Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
  • Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
  • Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
  • Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

PARIVISION

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

93.5%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 94.0%

Match Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 94.0%

PARIVISION

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Game 1 Winner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

87.5%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 88.0%

Game 1 Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 97.0%

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

55.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 98.0%

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 2 Winner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

88.5%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 89.0%

Game 2 Winner

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 2: Any Player Rampage?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 97.0%

Game 2: Any Player Rampage?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

55.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 97.0%

Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 97.0%

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 98.0%

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid — · Ask 100.0%

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

80.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 81.0%

Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

LEGION

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

LEGION

Open Kalshi ↗

O/U 2.5 Games

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0%

O/U 2.5 Games

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 96.0%

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 54.0%

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

34.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 47.0%

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 46.0%

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.