The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Ligue 1: 2027 Champion

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 18 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

22 outcomes · $783K reported volume

Observed 16s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 15, 2027

18 outcomes · $47K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 13, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Angers

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Angers

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Angers

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

Auxerre

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Auxerre

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Auxerre

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Le Havre

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Le Havre

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Le Havre

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Le Mans

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Le Mans

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Le Mans

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Lens

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.2%

Lens

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Lens

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Lille

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 2.4%

Lille

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Lille

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Lorient

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Lorient

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Lorient

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Lyon

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 2.0%

Lyon

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Lyon

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Marseille

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 1.8%

Marseille

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Marseille

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.7 pp

Monaco

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 4.8%

Monaco

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0%

Monaco

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Nice

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Nice

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Nice

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Paris

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 2.0%

Paris FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Paris

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

PSG

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

86.5%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 87.0%

Paris Saint-Germain

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 89.0%

PSG

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Stade Brest 29

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Brest

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Stade Brest 29

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Stade Rennes

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 1.0%

Rennes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Stade Rennes

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.1 pp

Strasbourg Alsace

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Strasbourg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Strasbourg Alsace

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Toulouse

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.0%

Toulouse

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Toulouse

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.6 pp

Troyes

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Troyes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Troyes

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.