Market comparison

Ligue 1 Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)

2 venues · 48 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

90 outcomes · $157K reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 10, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

18 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 13, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Ligue 1 Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Achraf Hakimi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	45.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 90.0% Achraf Hakimi Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0% Achraf Hakimi Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Achraf Hakimi Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Angers Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.4% Bid 0.5% · Ask 44.3% Angers Open Polymarket ↗	—
Auxerre Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.0% Auxerre Open Polymarket ↗	—
Brest Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.8% Bid 0.6% · Ask 7.0% Brest Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bruno Fernandes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 82.0% Bruno Fernandes Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Bruno Fernandes Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Bruno Fernandes Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dayot Upamecano Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Dayot Upamecano Open Kalshi ↗ 44.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 89.0% Dayot Upamecano Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Dayot Upamecano Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Declan Rice Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 50.0% Declan Rice Open Kalshi ↗ 15.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0% Declan Rice Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Declan Rice Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Erling Haaland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0% Erling Haaland Open Kalshi ↗ 85.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 87.0% Erling Haaland Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Erling Haaland Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Fabián Ruiz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 14.0% Fabián Ruiz Open Kalshi ↗ 72.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 72.0% Fabián Ruiz Open Kalshi ↗ 11.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0% Fabián Ruiz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ferran Torres Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Ferran Torres Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 23.0% Ferran Torres Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Ferran Torres Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Gabriel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Gabriel Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 24.0% Gabriel Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Gabriel Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Harry Kane Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	97.0% Bid 97.0% · Ask 98.0% Harry Kane Open Kalshi ↗ 99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Harry Kane Open Kalshi ↗ 99.0% Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0% Harry Kane Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
João Neves Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% João Neves Open Kalshi ↗ 16.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 19.0% João Neves Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% João Neves Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jude Bellingham Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 12.0% Jude Bellingham Open Kalshi ↗ 39.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 39.0% Jude Bellingham Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Jude Bellingham Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Julián Quiñones Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Julián Quiñones Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 20.0% Julián Quiñones Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Julián Quiñones Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0% Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Open Kalshi ↗ 98.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 98.0% Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Open Kalshi ↗ 30.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0% Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kylian Mbappé Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	84.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 85.0% Kylian Mbappé Open Kalshi ↗ 99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Kylian Mbappé Open Kalshi ↗ 97.0% Bid 97.0% · Ask 98.0% Kylian Mbappé Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lamine Yamal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	97.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 97.0% Lamine Yamal Open Kalshi ↗ 99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Lamine Yamal Open Kalshi ↗ 97.0% Bid 97.0% · Ask 99.0% Lamine Yamal Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lautaro Martínez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	46.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 92.0% Lautaro Martínez Open Kalshi ↗ 7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 25.0% Lautaro Martínez Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Lautaro Martínez Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Le Havre Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.0% Bid 0.5% · Ask 81.6% Le Havre Open Polymarket ↗	—
Le Mans Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.9% Le Mans Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lens Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 33.0% Lens Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lille Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	62.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 84.0% Lille Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lionel Messi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Lionel Messi Open Kalshi ↗ 98.0% Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0% Lionel Messi Open Kalshi ↗ 73.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 75.0% Lionel Messi Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lorient Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 44.0% Lorient Open Polymarket ↗	—
Luis Díaz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 74.0% Luis Díaz Open Kalshi ↗ 8.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0% Luis Díaz Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Luis Díaz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lyon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	52.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 70.0% Lyon Open Polymarket ↗	—
Marc Cucurella Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Marc Cucurella Open Kalshi ↗ 9.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0% Marc Cucurella Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Marc Cucurella Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Marquinhos Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Marquinhos Open Kalshi ↗ 41.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 82.0% Marquinhos Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Marquinhos Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Marseille Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 30.0% Marseille Open Polymarket ↗	—
Michael Olise Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Michael Olise Open Kalshi ↗ 88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 90.0% Michael Olise Open Kalshi ↗ 36.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 37.0% Michael Olise Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Monaco Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.5% Bid 62.0% · Ask 79.0% Monaco Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nice Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.8% Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.9% Nice Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nuno Mendes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Nuno Mendes Open Kalshi ↗ 12.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 24.0% Nuno Mendes Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Nuno Mendes Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ousmane Dembélé Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Ousmane Dembélé Open Kalshi ↗ 89.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 92.0% Ousmane Dembélé Open Kalshi ↗ 18.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 18.0% Ousmane Dembélé Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Paris FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 61.0% Paris FC Open Polymarket ↗	—
Paris Saint-Germain Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.6% Bid 93.6% · Ask 99.6% Paris Saint-Germain Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pau Cubarsí Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 20.0% Pau Cubarsí Open Kalshi ↗ 13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Pau Cubarsí Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0% Pau Cubarsí Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Rennes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 69.0% Rennes Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rodri Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0% Rodri Open Kalshi ↗ 97.0% Bid 97.0% · Ask 99.0% Rodri Open Kalshi ↗ 78.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 81.0% Rodri Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sadio Mané Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Sadio Mané Open Kalshi ↗ 47.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 95.0% Sadio Mané Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Sadio Mané Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Strasbourg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.4% Bid 1.7% · Ask 9.1% Strasbourg Open Polymarket ↗	—
Toulouse Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 50.0% Toulouse Open Polymarket ↗	—
Troyes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.6% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.6% Troyes Open Polymarket ↗	—
Vinícius Júnior Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	44.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 88.0% Vinícius Júnior Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 54.0% Vinícius Júnior Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Vinícius Júnior Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Vitinha Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Vitinha Open Kalshi ↗ 14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0% Vitinha Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Vitinha Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
William Saliba Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% William Saliba Open Kalshi ↗ 29.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 59.0% William Saliba Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% William Saliba Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Willian Pacho Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0% Willian Pacho Open Kalshi ↗ 7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 92.0% Willian Pacho Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Willian Pacho Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Achraf Hakimi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 90.0%

Achraf Hakimi

Ligue 1 Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)

Kalshi

Polymarket

Achraf Hakimi

Kalshi

Polymarket

Angers

Kalshi

Polymarket

Auxerre

Kalshi

Polymarket

Brest

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bruno Fernandes

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dayot Upamecano

Kalshi

Polymarket

Declan Rice

Kalshi

Polymarket

Erling Haaland

Kalshi

Polymarket

Fabián Ruiz

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ferran Torres

Kalshi

Polymarket

Gabriel

Kalshi

Polymarket

Harry Kane

Kalshi

Polymarket

João Neves

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jude Bellingham

Kalshi

Polymarket

Julián Quiñones

Kalshi

Polymarket

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Kalshi

Polymarket

Kylian Mbappé

Kalshi

Polymarket

Lamine Yamal

Kalshi

Polymarket

Lautaro Martínez

Kalshi

Polymarket

Le Havre

Kalshi

Polymarket

Le Mans

Kalshi

Polymarket

Lens

Kalshi

Polymarket

Lille

Kalshi

Polymarket

Lionel Messi

Kalshi

Polymarket

Lorient

Kalshi

Polymarket

Luis Díaz

Kalshi