The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Longest GitHub critical incident in October?

1 venue · 5 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $30K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

1 hour

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.5%

<1 hour · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

1-3 hours

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

1-3 hours · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

3-6 hours

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

81.5%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 83.0%

3-6 hours

Open Polymarket ↗

6-12 hours

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 18.0%

6-12 hours

Open Polymarket ↗

12+ hours

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7%

12+ hours

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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