Market comparison

Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $31K reported volume

Observed 10s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Bass 0-4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.5% Bid 21.8% · Ask 35.2% Bass 0-4% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Bass 4-8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.9% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.9% Bass 4-8% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Bass 8-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 5.6% · Ask 7.4% Bass 8-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Bass 12-16% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.9% Bass 12-16% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Bass 16-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.2% Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.5% Bass 16-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Bass 20+% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.2% Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.6% Bass 20+% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate A wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Candidate A wins · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Candidate A wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Other wins · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Karen Bass, ≥2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 41.0% Karen Bass, ≥2% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Karen Bass, ≥4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 42.0% Karen Bass, ≥4% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Karen Bass, ≥6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 31.0% Karen Bass, ≥6% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Karen Bass, ≥8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0% Karen Bass, ≥8% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Karen Bass, ≥10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 15.0% Karen Bass, ≥10% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Raman 0-4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0% Raman 0-4% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Raman 4-8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Raman 4-8% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Raman 8-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 15.0% Raman 8-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Raman 12-16% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% Raman 12-16% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Raman 16-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 1.7% · Ask 5.9% Raman 16-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Raman 20+% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 1.5% · Ask 7.3% Raman 20+% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Bass 0-4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 21.8% · Ask 35.2%

Bass 0-4%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bass 4-8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.9%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.9%

Bass 4-8%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bass 8-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 5.6% · Ask 7.4%

Bass 8-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bass 12-16%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.9%

Bass 12-16%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bass 16-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.5%

Bass 16-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bass 20+%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.2%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.6%

Bass 20+%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate A wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate A wins · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate A wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Other wins · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Karen Bass, ≥2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 41.0%

Karen Bass, ≥2%

Open Kalshi ↗

Karen Bass, ≥4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 42.0%

Karen Bass, ≥4%

Open Kalshi ↗

Karen Bass, ≥6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 31.0%

Karen Bass, ≥6%

Open Kalshi ↗

Karen Bass, ≥8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0%

Karen Bass, ≥8%

Open Kalshi ↗

Karen Bass, ≥10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 15.0%

Karen Bass, ≥10%

Open Kalshi ↗

Raman 0-4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0%

Raman 0-4%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Raman 4-8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Raman 4-8%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Raman 8-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 15.0%

Raman 8-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Raman 12-16%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

Raman 12-16%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Raman 16-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 5.9%

Raman 16-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Raman 20+%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 7.3%

Raman 20+%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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