Market comparison

Maine Governor Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Observed 19s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Maine Governor Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Charles, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.8% Charles, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 35.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 30.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.2% Bid 0.9% · Ask 11.4% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 1.3% · Ask 8.3% Democrat 25%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Independent Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.9% Independent Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Pingree, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.2% Bid 90.2% · Ask 95.0% Pingree, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pingree, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 94.9% Pingree, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pingree, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 88.0% Pingree, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pingree, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 72.0% Pingree, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pingree, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0% Pingree, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pingree, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 39.0% Pingree, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pingree, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 24.0% Pingree, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pingree, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.7% Bid 3.4% · Ask 14.0% Pingree, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pingree, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.9% Pingree, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 17.0% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.2% Bid 0.5% · Ask 11.8% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.0% Republican 5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Charles, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.8%

Charles, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

33.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 35.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 30.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.2%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 11.4%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 8.3%

Democrat 25%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Independent Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.9%

Independent Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Pingree, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.2%

Bid 90.2% · Ask 95.0%

Pingree, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pingree, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 94.9%

Pingree, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pingree, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 88.0%

Pingree, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pingree, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 72.0%

Pingree, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pingree, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0%

Pingree, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pingree, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 39.0%

Pingree, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pingree, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 24.0%

Pingree, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pingree, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.7%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 14.0%

Pingree, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pingree, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.9%

Pingree, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 17.0%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.2%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 11.8%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.0%

Republican 5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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