Market comparison

Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?

1 venue · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved

Kalshi

10 outcomes · $4.8M reported volume

Observed 3019h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: May 19, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Ed Gallrein, ≥20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Ed Gallrein, ≥20% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ed Gallrein, 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Ed Gallrein, 0-5% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ed Gallrein, 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	95.4%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Ed Gallrein, 5-10% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ed Gallrein, 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Ed Gallrein, 10-15% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ed Gallrein, 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Ed Gallrein, 15-20% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Thomas Massie, ≥20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Thomas Massie, ≥20% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Thomas Massie, 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Thomas Massie, 0-5% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Thomas Massie, 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Thomas Massie, 5-10% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Thomas Massie, 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Thomas Massie, 10-15% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Thomas Massie, 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Thomas Massie, 15-20% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

Ed Gallrein, ≥20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.3%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Ed Gallrein, ≥20% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Ed Gallrein, 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Ed Gallrein, 0-5% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Ed Gallrein, 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

95.4%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Ed Gallrein, 5-10% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Ed Gallrein, 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Ed Gallrein, 10-15% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Ed Gallrein, 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Ed Gallrein, 15-20% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Thomas Massie, ≥20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Thomas Massie, ≥20% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Thomas Massie, 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Thomas Massie, 0-5% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Thomas Massie, 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Thomas Massie, 5-10% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Thomas Massie, 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Thomas Massie, 10-15% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Thomas Massie, 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Thomas Massie, 15-20% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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