Market comparison

Maryland Governor Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 17s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Maryland Governor Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.4% Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.4% Democrat 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.9% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 25.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 28.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 11.5% · Ask 15.4% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 1.2% · Ask 8.2% Democrat 45%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Moore, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.2% Bid 90.7% · Ask 97.6% Moore, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 97.6% Moore, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.3% Moore, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.5% Bid 72.0% · Ask 83.0% Moore, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	65.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 72.0% Moore, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 58.0% Moore, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 33.0% Moore, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 23.0% Moore, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.7% Bid 8.0% · Ask 14.0% Moore, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 1.6% · Ask 8.3% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.4%

Democrat 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.9%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 25.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 28.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 11.5% · Ask 15.4%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 8.2%

Democrat 45%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Moore, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.2%

Bid 90.7% · Ask 97.6%

Moore, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 97.6%

Moore, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.3%

Moore, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.5%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 83.0%

Moore, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 72.0%

Moore, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 58.0%

Moore, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 33.0%

Moore, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 39+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 23.0%

Moore, 39+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.7%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 14.0%

Moore, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 8.3%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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