Market comparison

MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.4% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.7% Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.6% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.0% Democrat 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Harris, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 80.0% Harris, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harris, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 66.0% Harris, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harris, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0% Harris, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harris, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 36.0% Harris, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harris, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0% Harris, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harris, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 4.1% · Ask 16.0% Harris, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harris, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9% Harris, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harris, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.7% Harris, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harris, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.5% Harris, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 1.3% · Ask 11.2% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 32.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 28.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.7% Republican 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.9% Republican 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.4%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.6%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.0%

Democrat 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Harris, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 80.0%

Harris, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harris, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 66.0%

Harris, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harris, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0%

Harris, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harris, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 36.0%

Harris, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harris, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0%

Harris, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harris, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 16.0%

Harris, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harris, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Harris, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harris, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.7%

Harris, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Harris, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.5%

Harris, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 11.2%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 32.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 28.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.7%

Republican 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.9%

Republican 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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