Market comparison

MD-08 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 47s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for MD-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.3% · Ask 4.7% Democrat 0-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.4% Bid 2.0% · Ask 18.8% Democrat 40-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.1% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 24.0% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 35.0% Democrat 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 65-70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 26.0% Democrat 65-70% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 70-75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 0.9% · Ask 9.7% Democrat 70-75% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 75-80% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.5% · Ask 5.6% Democrat 75-80% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 80%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.1% Democrat 80%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Raskin, 50+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.4% Bid 91.9% · Ask 99.4% Raskin, 50+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Raskin, 53+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.2% Bid 81.0% · Ask 91.3% Raskin, 53+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Raskin, 56+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.5% Bid 70.0% · Ask 81.0% Raskin, 56+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Raskin, 59+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 70.0% Raskin, 59+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Raskin, 62+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.5% Bid 48.0% · Ask 59.0% Raskin, 62+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Raskin, 65+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.5% Bid 37.0% · Ask 48.0% Raskin, 65+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Raskin, 68+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 37.0% Raskin, 68+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Raskin, 71+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 26.0% Raskin, 71+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Raskin, 74+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.4% Bid 4.9% · Ask 15.0% Raskin, 74+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 4.7%

Democrat 0-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.4%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 18.8%

Democrat 40-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.1%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 24.0%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

33.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 35.0%

Democrat 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 65-70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 26.0%

Democrat 65-70%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 70-75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 9.7%

Democrat 70-75%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 75-80%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 5.6%

Democrat 75-80%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 80%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.1%

Democrat 80%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Raskin, 50+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.4%

Bid 91.9% · Ask 99.4%

Raskin, 50+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Raskin, 53+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.2%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 91.3%

Raskin, 53+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Raskin, 56+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.5%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 81.0%

Raskin, 56+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Raskin, 59+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 70.0%

Raskin, 59+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Raskin, 62+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.5%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 59.0%

Raskin, 62+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Raskin, 65+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 48.0%

Raskin, 65+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Raskin, 68+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 37.0%

Raskin, 68+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Raskin, 71+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 26.0%

Raskin, 71+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Raskin, 74+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.4%

Bid 4.9% · Ask 15.0%

Raskin, 74+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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