The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?

2 venues · 26 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

15 outcomes · $1.2M reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $30K reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

3700+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

3700+ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

3800+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

3800+ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

3900+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

3900+ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

4000+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

4000+ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

4100+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

4100+ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

4200+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

4200+ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

4300+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

4300+ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

4500+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

99.8%

Bid 99.6% · Ask 100.0%

4500+

Open Polymarket ↗

4700+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

96.4%

Bid 93.3% · Ask 99.5%

4700+

Open Polymarket ↗

4800+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

95.8%

Bid 92.2% · Ask 99.3%

4800+

Open Polymarket ↗

4900+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

61.5%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 71.0%

4900+

Open Polymarket ↗

Above 500

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 500 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 750

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 750 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 1000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 1000 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 1250

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 1250 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 1500

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 1500 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 1750

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 1750 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 2000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 2000 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 3000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 3000 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 4000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 4000 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 5000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 95.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 5000

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 6000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 86.0%

Above 6000

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 7000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 74.0%

Above 7000

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 8000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0%

Above 8000

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 9000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 34.0%

Above 9000

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 10000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0%

Above 10000

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.