Market comparison

Memphis vs Golden State

2 venues · 35 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

34 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 24, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 12s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 26, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Memphis vs Golden State
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Memphis Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	42.5% Bid 42.0% · Ask 43.0% Grizzlies vs. Warriors Open Polymarket ↗	42.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 42.0% Memphis Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Golden State Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	59.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 59.0% Golden State Open Kalshi ↗	—
O/U 221.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	77.5% Bid 76.0% · Ask 79.0% O/U 221.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 224.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	72.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 74.0% O/U 224.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 227.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	65.5% Bid 64.0% · Ask 67.0% O/U 227.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 230.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	59.5% Bid 58.0% · Ask 61.0% O/U 230.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 232.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	55.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 56.0% O/U 232.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 233.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	52.5% Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0% O/U 233.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 234.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.5% Bid 50.0% · Ask 51.0% O/U 234.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 235.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	47.5% Bid 47.0% · Ask 48.0% O/U 235.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 237.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 44.0% O/U 237.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 238.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.5% Bid 41.0% · Ask 44.0% O/U 238.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 240.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.5% Bid 36.0% · Ask 39.0% O/U 240.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 243.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.5% Bid 30.0% · Ask 33.0% O/U 243.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 246.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 27.0% O/U 246.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
O/U 249.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0% O/U 249.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Odd/Even Score Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0% Odd/Even Score Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Overtime? Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0% Overtime? Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Race to 10 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0% Race to 10 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Race to 20 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0% Race to 20 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Race to 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0% Race to 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread -1.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	55.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 56.0% Spread -1.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread -2.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	52.5% Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0% Spread -2.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread -4.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	44.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 45.0% Spread -4.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread -7.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.5% Bid 34.0% · Ask 37.0% Spread -7.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread -12.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0% Spread -12.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread -15.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0% Spread -15.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread -18.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 12.0% Spread -18.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 35.0% Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 27.0% Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread: Grizzlies (-9.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Spread: Grizzlies (-9.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	48.5% Bid 48.0% · Ask 49.0% Spread: Warriors (-3.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread: Warriors (-6.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0% Spread: Warriors (-6.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Spread: Warriors (-9.5) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 32.0% Spread: Warriors (-9.5) Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Team to Score First Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0% Team to Score First Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Memphis

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

42.5%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 43.0%

Grizzlies vs. Warriors

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 42.0%

Memphis

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Golden State

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 59.0%

Golden State

Open Kalshi ↗

O/U 221.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

77.5%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 79.0%

O/U 221.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 224.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

72.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 74.0%

O/U 224.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 227.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

65.5%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 67.0%

O/U 227.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 230.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

59.5%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 61.0%

O/U 230.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 232.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

55.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 56.0%

O/U 232.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 233.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

52.5%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0%

O/U 233.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 234.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.5%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 51.0%

O/U 234.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 235.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 48.0%

O/U 235.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 237.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

43.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 44.0%

O/U 237.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 238.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

42.5%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 44.0%

O/U 238.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 240.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

37.5%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 39.0%

O/U 240.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 243.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 33.0%

O/U 243.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 246.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 27.0%

O/U 246.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

O/U 249.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0%

O/U 249.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Odd/Even Score

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Odd/Even Score

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Overtime?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Overtime?

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Race to 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Race to 10

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Race to 20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Race to 20

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Race to 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Race to 30

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

55.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 56.0%

Spread -1.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -2.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

52.5%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0%

Spread -2.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -4.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

44.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 45.0%

Spread -4.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -7.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.5%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 37.0%

Spread -7.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -12.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0%

Spread -12.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -15.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0%

Spread -15.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread -18.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 12.0%

Spread -18.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

34.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 35.0%

Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 27.0%

Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: Grizzlies (-9.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Spread: Grizzlies (-9.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: Warriors (-3.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

48.5%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 49.0%

Spread: Warriors (-3.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: Warriors (-6.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0%

Spread: Warriors (-6.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spread: Warriors (-9.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 32.0%

Spread: Warriors (-9.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Team to Score First

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Team to Score First

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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