Market comparison

MI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $41K reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for MI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Bergman, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	85.5% Bid 81.0% · Ask 90.1% Bergman, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bergman, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	73.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0% Bergman, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bergman, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	64.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 74.0% Bergman, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bergman, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	52.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 61.0% Bergman, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bergman, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 48.0% Bergman, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bergman, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0% Bergman, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bergman, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 27.0% Bergman, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bergman, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.6% Bid 7.1% · Ask 19.0% Bergman, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bergman, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 1.2% · Ask 13.0% Bergman, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bergman, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.5% Bergman, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Democrat 5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.1% Bid 0.9% · Ask 3.3% Democrat 5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 10.0% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 32.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 11.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 25%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.3% Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.3% Republican 25%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—

Bergman, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

85.5%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 90.1%

Bergman, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bergman, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0%

Bergman, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bergman, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 74.0%

Bergman, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bergman, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 61.0%

Bergman, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bergman, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 48.0%

Bergman, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bergman, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0%

Bergman, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bergman, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 27.0%

Bergman, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bergman, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.6%

Bid 7.1% · Ask 19.0%

Bergman, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bergman, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.4%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 13.0%

Bergman, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bergman, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.5%

Bergman, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Democrat 5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 3.3%

Democrat 5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 10.0%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 32.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 11.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 25%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.3%

Republican 25%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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