Market comparison

MI-03 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for MI-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 1.3% · Ask 5.2% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.0% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 45.0% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 21.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.9% Bid 2.1% · Ask 19.7% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.8% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.6% Democrat 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.8% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Scholten, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 95.0% Scholten, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scholten, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.1% Bid 82.0% · Ask 90.1% Scholten, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scholten, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0% Scholten, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scholten, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	63.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0% Scholten, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scholten, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0% Scholten, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scholten, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0% Scholten, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scholten, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0% Scholten, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scholten, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 6.7% · Ask 18.0% Scholten, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scholten, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 12.0% Scholten, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 5.2%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.0%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

36.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 45.0%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 21.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.9%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 19.7%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.8%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.6%

Democrat 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.8%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Scholten, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 95.0%

Scholten, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scholten, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.1%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 90.1%

Scholten, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scholten, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0%

Scholten, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scholten, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0%

Scholten, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scholten, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0%

Scholten, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scholten, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0%

Scholten, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scholten, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0%

Scholten, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scholten, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 6.7% · Ask 18.0%

Scholten, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Scholten, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 12.0%

Scholten, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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