Market comparison

MI-05 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $26K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for MI-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.7% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.6% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 8.7% · Ask 13.3% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.5% Bid 33.1% · Ask 35.9% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.2% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.1% Republican 40%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Walberg, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 92.4% Walberg, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Walberg, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	76.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 82.0% Walberg, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Walberg, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0% Walberg, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Walberg, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0% Walberg, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Walberg, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 48.0% Walberg, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Walberg, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0% Walberg, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Walberg, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0% Walberg, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Walberg, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.4% Bid 7.7% · Ask 19.0% Walberg, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Walberg, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0% Walberg, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.7%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.6%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 8.7% · Ask 13.3%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

34.5%

Bid 33.1% · Ask 35.9%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.2%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.1%

Republican 40%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Walberg, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 92.4%

Walberg, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Walberg, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 82.0%

Walberg, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Walberg, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0%

Walberg, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Walberg, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0%

Walberg, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Walberg, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 48.0%

Walberg, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Walberg, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0%

Walberg, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Walberg, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0%

Walberg, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Walberg, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.4%

Bid 7.7% · Ask 19.0%

Walberg, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Walberg, 37+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0%

Walberg, 37+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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