Market comparison

MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 52s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 52s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.4% Democrat 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 2.9% · Ask 4.3% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.4% Bid 18.6% · Ask 20.1% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 22.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 27.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 17.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.3% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.2% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.2% Democrat 40%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Moss, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.5% Bid 89.0% · Ask 97.6% Moss, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moss, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.7% Bid 79.0% · Ask 90.4% Moss, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moss, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.5% Bid 68.0% · Ask 77.0% Moss, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moss, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 67.0% Moss, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moss, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.5% Bid 47.0% · Ask 56.0% Moss, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moss, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 46.0% Moss, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moss, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 38.0% Moss, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moss, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 25.0% Moss, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moss, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.1% Bid 4.6% · Ask 14.0% Moss, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.4%

Democrat 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 2.9% · Ask 4.3%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.4%

Bid 18.6% · Ask 20.1%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 22.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 27.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 17.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.2%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.2%

Democrat 40%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Moss, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.5%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 97.6%

Moss, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moss, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.7%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 90.4%

Moss, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moss, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.5%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 77.0%

Moss, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moss, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 67.0%

Moss, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moss, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.5%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 56.0%

Moss, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moss, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 46.0%

Moss, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moss, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 38.0%

Moss, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moss, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 25.0%

Moss, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moss, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.1%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 14.0%

Moss, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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