Market comparison

MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 55s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 55s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.4% Democrat 0-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.2% Democrat 25-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 0.6% · Ask 16.3% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.3% Bid 4.8% · Ask 13.8% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 21.0% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 28.0% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.0% Democrat 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 65%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.4% Democrat 65%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tlaib, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.9% Bid 92.4% · Ask 99.3% Tlaib, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tlaib, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.7% Bid 90.1% · Ask 99.2% Tlaib, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tlaib, 40+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 96.9% Tlaib, 40+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tlaib, 43+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 87.0% Tlaib, 43+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tlaib, 46+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	61.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 73.0% Tlaib, 46+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tlaib, 49+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.5% Bid 43.0% · Ask 48.0% Tlaib, 49+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tlaib, 52+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 35.0% Tlaib, 52+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tlaib, 55+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 20.0% Tlaib, 55+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tlaib, 58+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 0.4% · Ask 12.0% Tlaib, 58+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.4%

Democrat 0-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.2%

Democrat 25-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 16.3%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.3%

Bid 4.8% · Ask 13.8%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 21.0%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 28.0%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.0%

Democrat 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 65%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.4%

Democrat 65%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tlaib, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.9%

Bid 92.4% · Ask 99.3%

Tlaib, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tlaib, 37+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.7%

Bid 90.1% · Ask 99.2%

Tlaib, 37+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tlaib, 40+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 96.9%

Tlaib, 40+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tlaib, 43+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 87.0%

Tlaib, 43+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tlaib, 46+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 73.0%

Tlaib, 46+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tlaib, 49+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

45.5%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 48.0%

Tlaib, 49+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tlaib, 52+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 35.0%

Tlaib, 52+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tlaib, 55+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 20.0%

Tlaib, 55+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Tlaib, 58+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 12.0%

Tlaib, 58+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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