The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 28 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

18 outcomes · $538K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $39K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

El-Sayed 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0%

El-Sayed 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

El-Sayed 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0%

El-Sayed 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

El-Sayed 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

El-Sayed 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

El-Sayed 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 5.5% · Ask 7.5%

El-Sayed 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

El-Sayed 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 6.2%

El-Sayed 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

El-Sayed, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 64.0%

El-Sayed, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

El-Sayed, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 58.0%

El-Sayed, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

El-Sayed, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0%

El-Sayed, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

El-Sayed, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 42.0%

El-Sayed, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

El-Sayed, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 35.0%

El-Sayed, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

El-Sayed, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 26.0%

El-Sayed, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

El-Sayed, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

El-Sayed, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

El-Sayed, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.7%

Bid 7.7% · Ask 16.0%

El-Sayed, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

El-Sayed, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

El-Sayed, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

El-Sayed, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.7%

Bid 4.5% · Ask 5.7%

El-Sayed, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

El-Sayed, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.9%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 6.9%

El-Sayed, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

El-Sayed, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.9%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 5.9%

El-Sayed, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Rogers 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 28.0%

Rogers 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Rogers 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.3%

Rogers 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Rogers 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.9%

Rogers 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Rogers 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.0%

Rogers 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Rogers 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9%

Rogers 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Rogers, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0%

Rogers, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Rogers, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0%

Rogers, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Rogers, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 9.7% · Ask 14.0%

Rogers, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Rogers, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.9%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 14.0%

Rogers, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Rogers, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.9%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.9%

Rogers, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Rogers, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.9%

Rogers, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.