Market comparison

Michigan's 10th District margin of victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Michigan's 10th District margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Bouchard, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 30.0% Bouchard, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bouchard, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 22.0% Bouchard, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bouchard, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.9% Bid 6.7% · Ask 11.0% Bouchard, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bouchard, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.8% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.8% Bouchard, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bouchard, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.6% Bouchard, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 28.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.2% Bid 0.4% · Ask 18.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.8% Bid 1.6% · Ask 16.1% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.5% Bid 1.3% · Ask 19.8% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.3% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.6% Democrat 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Democrat 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.2% Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.6% Democrat 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hines, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	64.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 71.0% Hines, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hines, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 54.0% Hines, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hines, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 38.0% Hines, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hines, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0% Hines, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hines, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 4.4% · Ask 15.0% Hines, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—

Bouchard, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 30.0%

Bouchard, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bouchard, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 22.0%

Bouchard, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bouchard, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 6.7% · Ask 11.0%

Bouchard, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bouchard, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.8%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.8%

Bouchard, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bouchard, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.3%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.6%

Bouchard, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 28.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

9.2%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.8%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 16.1%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 19.8%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.6%

Democrat 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Democrat 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.2%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.6%

Democrat 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Hines, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 71.0%

Hines, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hines, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 54.0%

Hines, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hines, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 38.0%

Hines, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hines, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

19.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0%

Hines, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hines, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 4.4% · Ask 15.0%

Hines, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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